Monthly Specials (February 2025)
Three Purely Technical Swing Trades + One Top Pick Straight from My 2025 Long-Term Watchlist
Welcome to the February 2025 edition of Monthly Specials! 🧑🚀
Each month, I highlight stock ideas—whether for swing trades or long-term investments—focusing on growth and quality companies that have caught my attention. Picks can be based on qualitative insights, fundamentals, and/or technical setups.
🔹 Last Month’s Pick: Keysight (KEYS) was a fundamentally strong choice with a solid technical setup. If you missed it, the setup and fundamentals are still intact—check it out📎 Monthly Specials (January 2025).
What’s in store for February and beyond? On this occasion, I’m bringing four fresh new ideas:
1️⃣ Three purely technical swing trades based on outstanding chart setups I’ve spotted after this intense first part of Q1 earnings season. No deep dive into fundamentals this time—just price action, momentum, and key levels to watch.
2️⃣ For Paid Subscribers: One Switzerland-based quality business, high on my watchlist since early 2025. It’s coming out of a low cycle and restructuring phase, with new leadership and a refreshed strategy. Again, I’ll be focusing only on technicals in this article, but stay tuned—this company will be featured in my Hidden Gems – Special Edition II (March release) for a deeper dive into fundamentals. 👀
Let’s dive!
Expanse Stocks x Finchat.io Partnership!
🎁 Get 20% off + 2 months free on any Finchat plan! →📎 Claim Discount
Not a member yet? Join Expanse Stocks for free to access Deep Dives, Monthly Specials, Hidden Gems, stock news, and more!
📰 What’s New?
Free Access to 📊 Quarterly Updated Portfolio Composition - by Industry and Geography, plus Valuation Metrics → 📎 Expanse Stocks: Behind-The-Scenes
📌 Free-to-Read Articles (📎 linked below)
🔎 Deep Dives Brief – ⛅ Cloudflare | 👷♂️ Parsons | 𓇲 MPS | 🥼 Medpace | 🔌 Arista Networks
💎 Hidden Gems – Latest: Third Edition (2 British small-cap treasures)
🤏 Monthly Picks +🎅 Christmas Special: Top 5 Picks for 2025
💸 General Investing - Latest: DCF & Reverse-Engineered DCF (GOOG, ASML examples) + Moaty Software Companies (6 Gems)
💬 Join my Chat! ( 📎 Learn more)
👀 Coming Next
📊 Understanding ROIC, ROIIC, & ROCE - Measuring Investment Efficiency
💎 Hidden Gems - Special Edition II (Paid Subscribers)
🔐 Paid Subscriber Exclusives
💎 Hidden Gems - Special Editions + exclusive sections from recent Hidden Gems articles
🎁 Bonus Picks - From 🎅 Christmas Special
📊 DCF & Reverse DCF Models – Download in 📎 Portfolio Section
➕ Unlock Premium Content – For just $0.39/day ($12/month) or $0.27/day ($100/year) with the annual plan!
📎 Full Portfolio Content - 🗓️ Biweekly Updates (Last Update: 28-Feb-2025)
🔎 Stock Picking Methodology – Learn my long-term strategy
💼 Full Portfolio Access – Holdings, Valuation metrics & Performance tracking
📈 Live Trade Updates – My latest trades & watchlist additions
📊 DCF & Reverse-Engineered DCF Models – Proprietary models & valuation guides
🎯 Swing Trading Strategy – My short-term trading approach
💬 Private Community Chat - 📎 Learn more
📊 Clearwater Analytics (CWAN)
A High-Growth Name with a High-Potential Swing Setup
📌 $6B cloud-native SaaS company providing daily accounting, data analytics, and portfolio reporting for institutional clients.
📌 Under-the-Radar Growth Gem: Featured in my first Hidden Gems edition (Oct 2024) when it completed a rounded base—now, it’s back with an even stronger technical setup. Feel free to take a look 📎 Hidden Gem - First Edition
Technical Setup – The Cup & Handle ☕
✅ Textbook bullish pattern forming since its 2021 IPO, which coincided with post-COVID volatility.
✅ Breakout attempt in Q3 2024 took the stock to $36 but failed to hold—now consolidating in a good-looking cup & handle formation.
✅ Handle retest was completed recently, setting up a potential breakout right before earnings.
Key Indicators
MACD: Losing momentum since ATH ($36), but still above zero and showing early signs of flattening out—potential for the next leg up.
Volume Dynamics: Declining since the peak, signaling low selling pressure—looks primed for surge in volume post-earnings.
🔹 Support: $26 (key level above previous breakout)
🔹 Resistance: $32-$33 (first target on a breakout)
Final Take
This setup is looking hot for those willing to play the earnings momentum of this fast growing SaaS stock.
💊 Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO)
A High-Quality Swing Trade Opportunity
📌 This Big Pharma giant lands on my top swing trade picks for February after breaking down from a bearish head and shoulders pattern—but why now? Let’s break it down 👇
Technical Setup – Weekly 200MA: The Reliable Good Old Support for High-Quality Stocks
✅ Completed a textbook bearish pattern with a breakdown on high volume, but…
✅ Landed right above the weekly 200MA, a historically strong support level for NVO (last tested in 2020).
✅ Other big names, like ASML, have also recently (potentially) bottomed at this level—support its strong technical relevance.
⚠️ Retesting previous lows (just as I write this), right at a key support level 👀
Key Indicators
MACD: Deep below zero since declining hard in mid-2024, failed to stabilize in Dec 2024, but now flattening out on the back of a strong Q4 earnings report (📎 Earnings Snapshot)
Volume Dynamics: First above-average buying volume since the bearish reversal in March 2024—potential early accumulation signal.
🔹 Support: $80 (Weekly 200MA + key long-term support from Aug 2023 breakout).
🔹 Resistance: First level at $93 (declining daily 50MA), then $100+ (upper gap from Dec 2024 breakdown).
Final Take
This setup doesn’t seem to have the best look, but patience is key—technical repair takes time. For those eyeing a multi-month swing trade in a high-quality pharma stock, NVO could be what you are looking for.
🧫 Repligen Corporation (RGEN)
A Swing Trade Opportunity in the Bioprocessing Space
📌 Took a major hit post-COVID bubble (end of 2021) alongside peers like TMO, DHR,… you name them.
📌 Been consolidating for years, but 2025 might be the breakout year.
Let’s see why 👇
Technical Setup – A Potential Triple Bottom for the Win?
✅ Multi-year base forming within a falling wedge—but signs of reversal are emerging.
✅ Triple bottom pattern (Oct 2023, June 2024, Nov 2024) making the case of a strong support.
✅ Recently tested the 200-week MA & upper wedge band, rejected, now sitting right below the 50-week MA. Earnings on Thu 20th February will be key 👀
Key Indicators
MACD: Showing positive divergence & recently crossed above the zero line—a bullish momentum shift if it clears resistance
Volume Dynamics: Accumulation phase in progress since Oct 2023—another volume spike would confirm breakout potential 👀
🔹 Support: First at $150 (50-week MA), second at $120 (triple bottom support).
🔹 Resistance: $170-$180 (upper wedge band & 200-week MA).
Final Take
A high-potential setup that could see significant upside if it finally breaks out from its long consolidation phase.
Next Pick for Paid Subscribers 🔒
This stock has been high on my watchlist for a long-term investment since Day 1 of 2025. Right now, it's setting up with one of my favorite technical patterns—an Inverse Head & Shoulders, emerging from a long consolidation phase.
More details inside 👇